Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#85
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#66
Pace63.1#266
Improvement+1.9#92

Offense
Total Offense+7.7#26
Improvement+0.8#124

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#233
Improvement+1.1#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.9% n/a n/a
Second Round0.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 152   Army W 76-65 68%     1 - 0 +11.8 +1.8 +10.0
  Nov 11, 2012 331   The Citadel W 77-70 95%     2 - 0 -6.5 +5.7 -11.0
  Nov 21, 2012 311   Montana St. W 86-72 95%     3 - 0 +1.1 +5.7 -4.3
  Nov 25, 2012 45   @ Colorado L 74-89 23%     3 - 1 -1.6 +11.9 -14.0
  Nov 28, 2012 319   Jackson St. W 76-47 96%     4 - 1 +15.0 -1.6 +17.6
  Dec 02, 2012 34   Wichita St. L 69-72 40%     4 - 2 +5.4 +2.2 +3.2
  Dec 08, 2012 281   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 65-49 93%     5 - 2 +5.4 -5.8 +12.4
  Dec 22, 2012 291   @ UC Riverside W 61-53 84%     6 - 2 +2.9 -5.0 +8.6
  Dec 29, 2012 2   Florida L 61-78 9%     6 - 3 +3.3 +5.0 -3.6
  Jan 02, 2013 82   @ Richmond L 68-91 37%     6 - 4 -14.0 -4.3 -9.4
  Jan 09, 2013 149   Nevada W 78-65 78%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +10.6 +4.1 +6.8
  Jan 12, 2013 31   @ UNLV L 71-76 OT 18%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +10.2 +5.7 +4.7
  Jan 16, 2013 24   @ Colorado St. L 40-79 17%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -23.1 -26.5 +1.0
  Jan 19, 2013 47   Boise St. W 91-80 45%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +17.8 +15.7 +1.7
  Jan 23, 2013 345   New Orleans W 90-48 99%     9 - 6 +19.9 +20.9 +5.3
  Jan 26, 2013 89   @ Wyoming W 57-48 39%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +17.6 +2.7 +16.9
  Jan 30, 2013 99   Fresno St. W 62-50 66%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +13.5 +3.7 +11.7
  Feb 02, 2013 28   San Diego St. W 70-67 37%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +12.1 +11.6 +0.8
  Feb 06, 2013 16   @ New Mexico L 58-81 14%     12 - 7 5 - 3 -6.0 -3.2 -3.4
  Feb 09, 2013 149   @ Nevada L 69-74 56%     12 - 8 5 - 4 -0.9 -4.3 +3.5
  Feb 13, 2013 31   UNLV W 71-56 38%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +23.7 +11.5 +13.4
  Feb 16, 2013 24   Colorado St. L 86-89 36%     13 - 9 6 - 5 +6.4 +15.1 -8.8
  Feb 20, 2013 47   @ Boise St. L 65-77 23%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +1.3 +7.1 -7.8
  Feb 26, 2013 89   Wyoming W 72-66 63%     14 - 10 7 - 6 +8.2 +12.2 -3.1
  Mar 02, 2013 99   @ Fresno St. L 41-56 41%     14 - 11 7 - 7 -7.0 -13.8 +3.1
  Mar 06, 2013 28   @ San Diego St. L 51-58 18%     14 - 12 7 - 8 +8.6 -4.9 +12.5
  Mar 09, 2013 16   New Mexico W 89-88 32%     15 - 12 8 - 8 +11.6 +32.4 -20.7
  Mar 13, 2013 31   @ UNLV L 56-72 18%     15 - 13 -0.8 -2.0 +0.1
Projected Record 15.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 2.2% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.3 97.8 2.2%
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.2% 0.0% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.3 97.8 2.2%